What If There Had Been No Hold

May 21, 2019, Volodymry Zelsenskyy had just been sworn into office; one of his first acts was to dissolve his country’s parliament.

June 18th, The U.S. DoD put out a public announcement; they were petitioning the OMB (Office of Management and Budget) for the releasing $250 million in Defense Department funding, allocated by Congress under the National Defense Authorization Act of 2019, for military aid to the Ukraine.

On June 21st, the State Department notifies the OMB of their intention to call for the release of $141 million in U.S. military aid to the Ukraine allocated by Congress in the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2019.

Some time prior to July 18th, the White House, through the OBM, placed a hold on the $391 million in U.S. military aid to the Ukraine.

What if President Trump had never acted?

What if a hold were never placed on the Ukrainian Security Assistance Initiative (USAI)?

Could America be accused of interfering in Ukrainian domestic politics?

In 2016, the Obama Administration accused the Russians of interfering America’s Presidential elections—at the heart of the charge $100K in Facebooks ads.

How would U.S. intelligence agencies view $391 million in direct military aid?

If the actions of the DoD and State Department had been implemented, could that aid have been viewed by the Ukrainian people as a sign?

Could the release of the lethal U.S. military armaments be seen as a bribe by the Ukrainian people? If they wished to continue to receive U.S. military assistance, did they need to reelect the same parliament that had gotten the military aid from America?

Would the granting of such a large military aid package have been seen as interfering in the Ukrainian parliamentary elections?

The DoD and State Department had effectively signed off on sending $391 million in sophisticated, offensive, weaponry to the Ukraine with parliamentary elections a mere month away.

Were DoD and State Department officials seeking to influence the Ukrainian election?

If there had been no hold placed on the aid by President Trump—could the world look upon America as having done the same thing President Obama accused Russia of doing in the U.S. Presidential election of 2016?     

In the Democrat led impeachment inquiry, it was discovered there was a meaningful discussion in the White House on the timing of the now infamous phone conversation between Messrs. Trump and Zelenskyy.

President Trump had wanted to make the call in early July.

Upon reflection, Mr. Trump was advised to hold off until after the Ukrainians had gone to the polls to elect their new parliament, which was to take place on July 21st.

The rationale, the U.S. didn’t want to appear to be influencing domestic Ukrainian elections.

The mere look of impropriety was enough to postpone President Trump’s call to President Zelenskyy.

Was this the trigger that prompted President Trump to order the OMB to put a hold on the $391 million in U.S. military aid to the Ukraine?

If a mere phone conversation could be viewed as inappropriate, certainly, $391 million in military aid should be viewed in the same light.