What If President Zelenskyy Had Opened Investigations?

The argument has been and continues to be made by Democrats: Donald Trump was pressuring the Ukrainian President to open investigations into Ukraine’s involvement in the U.S. 2016 Presidential elections as well as into political rival Joe Biden—and that Mr. Trump was abusing his power by leveraging the $391 military aid package to secure those investigations.

The most effective way to check the validity of any assumption is to reverse the assumption—to turn it on itself.

To challenge the assumption of investigations and abuse of power, we ask: What if President Zelenskyy had acquiesced and launched the investigations President Trump had reportedly sought?

What changes?

The answer: Absolutely nothing.

President Trump may or may not have desired to leverage the military aid Congress authorized for the Ukrainian Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) program—we don’t have definitive proof one way or the other.

Still, it simply isn’t material.

Donald Trump didn’t control the funds—the extent of his power was to enforce the law.

The law clearly stated the funding was to be placed under the direct control of the DoD (Department of Defense) and State Department—as long as all of the conditions associated with the funding were met, the funds would be released to the controlling agencies.

Plain and simple, as soon as all the conditions regarding the USAI program were met—it was out of Donald Trump’s hands.

If he had withheld the funding after all the conditions had been met, for some supposed quid pro quo—President Trump, at that time, would be violating the law.

What’s more, the constraints associated with the aid package are public record. ( PL 115-232, PL 116-6)

These records are not reserved for the eyes of only politicians or federal agencies, they’re available to everyone, including anyone on the planet interested in viewing the legislation passed by Congress and signed into law by the President.

This means President Zelenskyy—had access.

This means the conditions his country had to meet were transparent to Mr. Zelenskyy.

In the end, the moment President Zelenskyy dissolved his parliament—his civilian legislature—his expectation should have been the U.S. military aid would not be forthcoming.

Only after the newly elected parliament was officially recognized, in late August 2019, could the Ukraine begin to fulfill the demands of the U.S. Congress.

Even if Volodymry Zelenskyy had agreed to open investigations in July or August—by law, the U.S. military aid could not have been released.

The military aid funding could only be released once Mr. Zelenskyy’s country had met all the criteria stipulated by the U.S. Congress.

This renders the argument of quid pro quo moot.

The aid could not have been released any sooner than it ultimately was, in the September time frame (11th), regardless of any action(s) taken by the Ukrainian government, inclusive of launching any investigation into Burisma and Joe Biden.

 Oddly, President Trump’s involvement with the Ukrainian military aid package—was to ensure the law was being followed—that’s it..

In a twist of irony, Mr. Trump was obeying the wishes of Congress, supported and passed by both Democrats and Republicans, when he intervened—and for that he is being prosecuted.

The issue of investigations simply doesn’t carry any water—because they wouldn’t have changed a damn thing.