The Folly of “Shelter in Place” in a Mobile Society

Can the policy of isolation stop the Coronavirus?

Yes, but for how long?

To a degree, it has been proven localized populations can be isolated. The issue becomes: How long does a population need to be isolated in order to avoid the transmission of the Coronavirus?

Indefinitely!

It is important to note: Isolation is not immunity.

In an environment where no vaccine exists—immunity can only be developed via the general population contracting the disease, thereby establishing Herd Immunity. (Read: The 15% Rule)

That’s the rub—in order to actually create immunity to COVID-19, and end the life of the Coronavirus, the virus must be allowed to run its natural course.

But that natural course is being interrupted by governors as they artificially erect measures (shelter in place) to halt the progress of the Coronavirus. (Read: What’s Wrong with COVID-19 Taking Its Natural Course)

In many respects “shelter in place” orders represent a catch-22 scenario.

No immunity is established, prolonging the susceptibility of those communities.

This is the folly of “shelter in place” policies, in order to truly protect a population—that population must be allowed to build up immunity to COVID-19—not merely be isolated from it.

Ultimately, in allowing the Coronavirus to run its natural course, creating Herd Immunity, the virus starves itself to death, eliminating it from the larger population and hence its ability to reemerge.

However, if the populace is merely segregated from the virus, given the highly mobile nature of American and global societies—the virus is not eliminated from the planet and can reemerge.

Furthermore, pathogens don’t know or respect physical boundaries.

All that has been accomplished in places like California and New York is to prolong the agony.

In a perverse twist, Dr. Fauci’s warning that lifting “shelter in place” policies too early could result in a reemergence of the Coronavirus is absolutely correct.

Again, it is the fact “shelter in place” policies do not create immunity.

Therefore, those communities that have been isolated from the virus—remain susceptible to it.

At some point, unless immunity is created, the Coronavirus will come back again and again.

This is the folly of pursuing policies of isolation; rather than, immunity.

This is the folly of “shelter in place.”